Main forecast concern will be the possibility of snow for late Friday night into Saturday morning. It looks like our best chance of snow will be after midnight into early morning hours of Saturday.
Friday Night - expect temperatures during the evening to be in the lower 30s falling off to 22 by the early morning hours. A 80% chance of snow with 1-2 inch of snow accumulated by Saturday morning. Best chance will be after midnight into 6 am time frame.
Saturday - slight chance of lingering snow flakes in the morning then skies becoming cloudy with a high of 27. A cold northwest wind at 15-20 mph. Wind chill factors will be in the lower 10s.
Saturday Night - Continued cold conditions with temperatures keeping steady in the lower 20s skies cloudy with a continued cold northwest wind at 10-15 mph.
Friday, February 27, 2009
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
Forecast for Wednesday Feb 25 - Friday Feb 27
Today - will be an even better day to be outside with a high of 66 with a warm south wind at 10 mph. Mostly sunny skies.
Tonight - expect increasing clouds with the low only getting down to 48 winds variable from the east. Slight chance of rain in the morning.
Thursday - another warm day with a of 63 with a 40 % of showers and thunderstorms. Best chance will be from 12 pm to 6 pm time frame. Chances should decrease pretty rapidly as this system moves off quickly along with a cold front that's expected to pass Lawrence around dinner time.
Thursday night - cloudy skies with a low of 31 winds from the north at 10 mph.
Friday Night/Weekend outlook: Colder air continues to return to the air with highs only reaching mid 30s with lows in the 20s both Friday and Saturday night. Also might have a slight chance of snow Saturday morning. Shouldn't be anything to significant.
Tonight - expect increasing clouds with the low only getting down to 48 winds variable from the east. Slight chance of rain in the morning.
Thursday - another warm day with a of 63 with a 40 % of showers and thunderstorms. Best chance will be from 12 pm to 6 pm time frame. Chances should decrease pretty rapidly as this system moves off quickly along with a cold front that's expected to pass Lawrence around dinner time.
Thursday night - cloudy skies with a low of 31 winds from the north at 10 mph.
Friday Night/Weekend outlook: Colder air continues to return to the air with highs only reaching mid 30s with lows in the 20s both Friday and Saturday night. Also might have a slight chance of snow Saturday morning. Shouldn't be anything to significant.
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
update on current forecast
Low tonight of 34 instead and a high of 58. Other than that forecast remains the same. Stuff on the bottom is notes for me. Read if your interested in how some of the weather models are behaving quite differently for tomorrow.
models are both looking to be way off in both directions temperature wise for tomorrow's low and high. GFS is predicting overcast skies over night bring a low of 37 but in fact the temperature right now is already at 32 degrees with only a few high clouds. NAM is forecasting a bit less cloud cover with its low at 34. I think the temperature will rise however, with some good WAA from the south so I'm going to keep the low at 32.
For highs is the GFS and NAM differ even more. NAM is saying 60, which is what I originally predicted, while the GFS is saying 52. GFS still seems to be overly forecasting clouds with NAM still continuing breakage in clouds. So I will go with a slightly lower value of 58 for tomorrow.
models are both looking to be way off in both directions temperature wise for tomorrow's low and high. GFS is predicting overcast skies over night bring a low of 37 but in fact the temperature right now is already at 32 degrees with only a few high clouds. NAM is forecasting a bit less cloud cover with its low at 34. I think the temperature will rise however, with some good WAA from the south so I'm going to keep the low at 32.
For highs is the GFS and NAM differ even more. NAM is saying 60, which is what I originally predicted, while the GFS is saying 52. GFS still seems to be overly forecasting clouds with NAM still continuing breakage in clouds. So I will go with a slightly lower value of 58 for tomorrow.
Monday, February 23, 2009
Monday Feb 23- Tuesday Feb 24 Forecast
Looks to be a nice two days here to start off the week ( but pretty boring for a meteorologist, we've got this huge trough of low pressure blocking just about anything interesting for the western half of the US)
Monday Morning - Will be a bit cold going to school/work this morning around 20 degrees
Monday - expect a quick warm up though with mostly sunny skies with just a few clouds high of 52. Winds from the southeast at 10 mph.
Tuesday Morning - around 32 with winds from the south 10 mph partly cloudy skies.
Tuesday - going to be a great day to be out with a high of 60 with winds continuing from the south (helps bring warmer air :) )
Wednesday Morning - maintaining about the same pattern here with a low around 30 skies becoming clear light winds from south 5 mph.
Quick outlook for rest of the week: Might have some more interesting weather past Wednesday with surface low developing in Texas. Might bring a chance of rain/thunderstorms Thursday with some cooler temperatures. Shouldn't be anything to bad with highs around mid 40s and lows around lower 30s.
Weekend looks to be about the same temperature wise no chances of any precipitation but still to far out to accurately say for sure.
Monday Morning - Will be a bit cold going to school/work this morning around 20 degrees
Monday - expect a quick warm up though with mostly sunny skies with just a few clouds high of 52. Winds from the southeast at 10 mph.
Tuesday Morning - around 32 with winds from the south 10 mph partly cloudy skies.
Tuesday - going to be a great day to be out with a high of 60 with winds continuing from the south (helps bring warmer air :) )
Wednesday Morning - maintaining about the same pattern here with a low around 30 skies becoming clear light winds from south 5 mph.
Quick outlook for rest of the week: Might have some more interesting weather past Wednesday with surface low developing in Texas. Might bring a chance of rain/thunderstorms Thursday with some cooler temperatures. Shouldn't be anything to bad with highs around mid 40s and lows around lower 30s.
Weekend looks to be about the same temperature wise no chances of any precipitation but still to far out to accurately say for sure.
Friday, February 20, 2009
Friday Feb. 20-Sunday Feb 22 Forecast
Bold is for times when most people are out. I think I will try to focus these weekend forecasts on those periods.
Friday looks to be a wonderful day with temperatures reaching 59 degrees with mostly sunny skies. Unfortunately this good weather will not last with a cold front that will reach Lawrence around 7 pm-9 pm time frame.
Expect colder temperatures for Friday night (lower 40s-upper 30s) with the coolest temperature reaching about 26 (in the early morning hours). With this front is also a small chance of flurries. Don't expect anything significance other than a few snow flakes in the late evening and over night period.
For Saturday the colder air will continue to be present in our area with our highs only reaching 34. Skies will continue to be cloudy.
Saturday night will be even colder (lower 20s to upper teens) reaching 14 by the early morning hours. Expect very cold conditions if you are going to be out Saturday night :(
Finally for Sunday, we will finally get sunny skies with temperatures rebounding a bit to 41.
Friday looks to be a wonderful day with temperatures reaching 59 degrees with mostly sunny skies. Unfortunately this good weather will not last with a cold front that will reach Lawrence around 7 pm-9 pm time frame.
Expect colder temperatures for Friday night (lower 40s-upper 30s) with the coolest temperature reaching about 26 (in the early morning hours). With this front is also a small chance of flurries. Don't expect anything significance other than a few snow flakes in the late evening and over night period.
For Saturday the colder air will continue to be present in our area with our highs only reaching 34. Skies will continue to be cloudy.
Saturday night will be even colder (lower 20s to upper teens) reaching 14 by the early morning hours. Expect very cold conditions if you are going to be out Saturday night :(
Finally for Sunday, we will finally get sunny skies with temperatures rebounding a bit to 41.
Thursday, February 19, 2009
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